Keystone Creek Builder Market Update

Builder Market Update · November 2026

Keystone Creek

N Calgary · Sales Nov 6, 2025 – Nov 5, 2026 (12 months); active listings as of Nov 5, 2026

Three things builders should know

01Supply is high. Keystone Creek has about 8.4 months of supply (14 active listings against 20 sales in 12 months), compared with just under 4 for Calgary overall (CREB®, Oct 2026). Buyers have choice, so price and presentation decide who sells.
02Specs are asking more than new homes have sold for. Active new detached – front garage homes ask a median of about $326/sq ft. New homes in that product sold at about $299/sq ft over the past year.
03New builds made up 20 of 20 MLS® sales. New homes sold at a median $351/sq ft in a median 62 days.

Community snapshot

20
Sales (12 months)
4 in the last 90 days
$544,450
Median sold price
all product types
$351
Median $/sq ft
above-grade, RMS
62
Median days on market
new 62 · resale —
98.3%
Sale-to-list ratio
sold ÷ final list price
8.4
Months of supply
14 active · Calgary just under 4

New build vs resale

Segment Sales Median price Median $/sf Median DOM Sale-to-list Active now
New build (never occupied) 20 $544,450 $351 62 98.3% 13
Resale (built 2015 or later) 0 — — — — 1

Resale here means homes built in 2015 or later, the homes buyers compare a new build to. Compare $/sq ft and days on market, not the overall median price.

What this means for builders

Pricing

Price new detached – front garage specs closer to the $299/sq ft new homes have actually sold for, not today’s $326 asking level. 3 specs in this product are competing with each other and with resale.

Semi-detached / duplex supply

Semi-detached / duplex has 6.9 months of supply: 4 listed against 7 sales in a year. Specs in this product need a sharper price or a stronger incentive to stand out.

The $600K+ band

The $600K+ band has 15 months of supply: 5 homes for sale against 4 sales in a year. Specs priced here compete hardest; price toward the band below or add value buyers can see.

Timing

Quarterly sales over the past year ran 3 → 7 → 6 → 4. Winter is the slowest stretch; specs finishing over the winter should be listed and photographed before possession so they’re ready for the spring market.

Full breakdown: product types, price bands and spec aging

By product type

Product Sales (new / resale) Median price Median $/sf Median DOM (new / resale) Sale-to-list Active Months of supply
Townhome / row 7 (7 / 0) $503,316 $351 57 / — 99.0% 3 5.1
Semi-detached / duplex 7 (7 / 0) $546,000 $361 60 / — 98.2% 4 6.9
Detached – laned 3 (3 / 0) $599,650 $351 31 / — 98.3% 4 16.0
Detached – front garage 3 (3 / 0) $655,000 $299 193 / — 98.0% 3 12.0

Months of supply = active listings ÷ average monthly sales over 12 months. Laned = rear lane / detached garage; front garage = attached front-drive garage.

Where buyers are buying

Price band (sold price) Sales (12 mo) Share of sales Active now Months of supply Median DOM Market read
Under $500K 3 15% 1 4.0 46 Balanced
$500K–$599K 13 65% 8 7.4 63 Buyer's
$600K+ 4 20% 5 15.0 52 Buyer's – heavy

Market read: under 2.5 months of supply = seller's, 2.5–5 = balanced, over 5 = buyer's. Active listings are banded by asking price.

Spec competition right now

Product (new builds only) Active Median asking price Median asking $/sf 0–30 days 31–60 61–90 90+ days
Townhome / row 3 $515,000 $324 0 1 2 0
Semi-detached / duplex 4 $537,500 $360 1 1 2 0
Detached – laned 3 $579,900 $330 2 0 0 1
Detached – front garage 3 $667,700 $326 1 1 0 1
Total 13 4 3 4 2

Days on market is for the current listing. Relisted homes may have been on the market longer. Over the past 12 months, 5 new-build listings in Keystone Creek expired, were withdrawn or were cancelled without selling (some were relisted).

The bigger picture

Measure Keystone Creek City of Calgary (CREB®) What it tells you
Months of supply – all homes 8.4 just under 4 Buyers here have more choice than citywide
Months of supply – detached 14.0 ≈ 3.3 Buyers here have more choice than citywide
Months of supply – row/town 5.1 ≈ 4.4 About the same choice as citywide
Benchmark price – detached median sold $609,575* $735,100 (−0.7% y/y) Prices citywide are flat to slightly down
Benchmark price – row median sold $503,316* $407,500 (−5.1% y/y) Row is the weakest segment citywide
Total sales, October 2026 — 1,592 (−15.3% y/y) Sales are down from last year; buyers are taking more time

*Keystone Creek figures are TNT's medians from Pillar 9™ MLS® sales. CREB® benchmark prices use the MLS® Home Price Index and are a different measure. Don't compare them as like for like.

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Past editions: November 2026  ·  October 2026  ·  See all communities

Cam Johnson, REALTOR®, builder and new-home specialist at TNT Real Estate Pros

Your builder specialist

Cam Johnson

Before real estate, Cam founded and ran a construction company working on building and land development projects. He looks at a spec the way a builder does: the product, the lot, what it costs to carry and what it will take to move it. That’s why these updates are built around the numbers builders use.

  • Spec pricing against the resale homes buyers are actually touring
  • MLS® marketing, showings and weekly feedback reports
  • Move-up buyers who need to sell first: our team handles that sale too, so your deal doesn’t stall
Sources & notes. Community data: Pillar 9™ MLS® System, residential listings in the Keystone Hills subdivision (Keystone Creek), sold Nov 6, 2025 – Nov 5, 2026, plus active and pending listings as of Nov 5, 2026; homes built 2015 or later; compiled and analyzed by TNT Real Estate Pros. City figures: CREB® October 2026 monthly statistics. New-build = listed as new, never occupied. Builder sales not listed on the MLS® System are not included, so new-home sales are understated. Figures are aggregated and no individual property is identified. Segments with fewer than 3 sales are not shown. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Not intended to solicit properties already listed for sale. The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA.